REAL TIME NEWS
TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistance. A breakout at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance at 0.8031, a pullback resistance that i... TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistan
FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected volatility within major currency pairs. Macro uncertainty appears to be contained, and the tight ranges observed in sp... FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected vol
TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward ... TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullb
TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1... TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap
Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1s... Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback s
Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—particularly in MegaCap Tech and Mag-X. This comes amid swirling market risks tied to policy implications for both the c... Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—parti
Daily Market Outlook, September 11, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…US and European futures showed limited appetite for directional trade overnight, ahead of the highly anticipated US inflation report scheduled... Daily Market Outlook, September 11, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…US and European futures sho
SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 11/9/25WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~10 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6440/50WEEKLY RANGE RES 6556 SUP 6407SEP MOPEX STRADDLE - 6260/6639SEP EOM STRADDLE - 6282/6638DAILY BULL BEAR ZONE 651... SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 11/9/25WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~10 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6440
September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to monitor. First, the ECB will meet for its September rates setting meeting. No further easing is forecast today and ... September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to
US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was in dovish territory with both headline and core PPI at -0.1%, down from 0.7% prior and well below the 0.3% the mar... US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was

Fundamental Analysis

Fed Meeting Digest: Extremely Bullish for Stocks, Bearish for USD

The Fed has kept monetary policy parameters unchanged and, despite the vaccine optimism, maintained a focus on the headwinds for the economy in 2021, both in statement and in Powell’s speech. Despite...
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The Fed Seals The Dollar's Fate

Fed Extends Asset PurchasesThe final FOMC meeting of the year has helped cement USD weakness into year end with the Fed reaffirming its commitment to maintaining a strong easing presence in the market...
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The Crude Chronicles Episode 68

Oil Traders Reduce LongsThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that WTI traders reduced their net long positions by 2506 contracts last week, taking the total position to 514659,...

Explaining 10yr-2yr Spread and Fed’s Meeting Baseline Scenario. Near Term USD Outlook

Decline of US Dollar accelerated on Wednesday before the Fed meeting as the consensus strengthened that the US Central Bank will float additional monetary easing measures today. On Monday we discussed...
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UK Manufacturing Hits 3 Year High

While parts of the UK, including London, were plunged into Tier 3 lockdown as of this morning, there was some good news to be had. The latest manufacturing and services PMI releases were seen coming...
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EUR Rallies On Strong PMI Readings

Better Data In DecemberThe latest set of economic data out of the eurozone today highlighted the ongoing recovery underway there with both the eurozone manufacturing and services PMIs continuing to...

The IndeX Files 15-12-2020

Vaccine & Stimulus Hopes Keeping Equities SupportedGlobal benchmark equities indices remain broadly positive over the early European session on Tuesday. Sentiment is being held up by ongoing...

Bearish OPEC, Interim USD gains, Keep oil Rally in Check

Having started the week on a bullish note, oil slid on Tuesday, as the US dollar held the ground ahead of the Fed meeting, and OPEC said oil demand would grow less than previously expected in 2021.The...

Precious Metals Monday 14-12-2020

GoldGold prices have started the seek on a softer footing with equities catching a bid across the early European session on Monday. The main element driving the current markets action continue to be...