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Daily Market Outlook, September 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute… Asian stock markets saw gains, with MSCI's regional index nearing a record high, following US inflation and jobless claims reports that ... Daily Market Outlook, September 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute… Asian stock markets saw ga
US CPI In Focus TodayBTC is starting to grind higher again through the middle of the week. The futures market rose firmly yesterday, buoyed by better risk appetite as traders reacted to weaker-than-forecast US PPI data. The drop in producer prices has fuelled some ... US CPI In Focus TodayBTC is starting to grind higher again through the middle of the week. The futures market rose firmly yesterday, buoyed by better
US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was in dovish territory with both headline and core PPI at -0.1%, down from 0.7% prior and well below the 0.3% the mar... US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was
TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistance. A breakout at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance at 0.8031, a pullback resistance that i... TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistan
FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected volatility within major currency pairs. Macro uncertainty appears to be contained, and the tight ranges observed in sp... FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected vol
TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward ... TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullb
TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1... TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap
Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1s... Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback s
Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—particularly in MegaCap Tech and Mag-X. This comes amid swirling market risks tied to policy implications for both the c... Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—parti
September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to monitor. First, the ECB will meet for its September rates setting meeting. No further easing is forecast today and ... September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to

Fundamental Analysis

Is Bitcoin Poised For A Big Reversal Lower?

BTC Slipping From HighsPrice action in Bitcoin today is looking precarious with Bitcoin futures having turned lower through the bullish trend line off the May lows, pushing back below the 69,355...

Softer UK Jobs Data But Wages Hold Steady

UK Jobs Market WeakensThe near-term outlook in the UK remains muddy on the back of the latest labour market data this morning. The unemployment rate was seen rising to 4.4% from 4.3% prior with the...

Euro Slips as Political Turmoil in EU Shakes Markets

The EUR/USD pair is teetering on the edge, hovering near its support zone of 1.07-1.0720 during Tuesday's American session. The Euro finds itself in a downward spiral as political upheaval in...

Crude Recovery Hinges on Fed Tomorrow

Crude Attempting to RecoverCrude prices are looking a little softer through the European morning session on Tuesday, but remain well up off last week’s lows. Crude futures are currently sitting just...

Make or Break Week For Gold

Gold Heavily Sold on NFP PopGold prices are trading very tentatively on the back of Friday’s sell-off. Gold futures fell more than 4% in response to the upside surprise in Friday’s US jobs data which...

Dollar Stronger At Start of Important Week

USD Higher on Payroll SurpriseThe US Dollar is trading higher across early European trading on Monday following an upside surprise in Friday’s US jobs data. The headline NFP reading was seen coming in...

Bitcoin Weaker Following NFP Surprise - CPI & Fed Next

BTC Under PressureBitcoin prices are looking weaker on Monday following heavy selling on Friday as traders digested the latest US labour market data. A strong upside surprise in the NFP saw traders...

Crude Bulls Hoping For Weak NFP Today

Crude ReboundingCrude prices are trading up off the weekly lows ahead of the all-important NFP release later today. Crude futures have recovered more than 4% following heavy selling at the start of...

Traders Brace For USD Plunge If NFP Undershoots

NFP On DeckThe US Dollar is firmly on watch today as traders brace for the latest US labour market data. Following weakness in the April NFP report, traders will be looking to see if this weakness...