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Daily Market Outlook, September 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute… Asian stock markets saw gains, with MSCI's regional index nearing a record high, following US inflation and jobless claims reports that ... Daily Market Outlook, September 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute… Asian stock markets saw ga
US CPI In Focus TodayBTC is starting to grind higher again through the middle of the week. The futures market rose firmly yesterday, buoyed by better risk appetite as traders reacted to weaker-than-forecast US PPI data. The drop in producer prices has fuelled some ... US CPI In Focus TodayBTC is starting to grind higher again through the middle of the week. The futures market rose firmly yesterday, buoyed by better
US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was in dovish territory with both headline and core PPI at -0.1%, down from 0.7% prior and well below the 0.3% the mar... US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was
TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistance. A breakout at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance at 0.8031, a pullback resistance that i... TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistan
FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected volatility within major currency pairs. Macro uncertainty appears to be contained, and the tight ranges observed in sp... FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected vol
TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward ... TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullb
TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1... TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap
Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1s... Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback s
Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—particularly in MegaCap Tech and Mag-X. This comes amid swirling market risks tied to policy implications for both the c... Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—parti
September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to monitor. First, the ECB will meet for its September rates setting meeting. No further easing is forecast today and ... September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to

Fundamental Analysis

ECB Cuts Rates, So Why Hasn't EURUSD Fallen

ECB Cuts RatesEURUSD remains little moved on the back of the ECB rate-cut yesterday. Despite reducing rates for the first time in five years, there was very little reaction given that, firstly, the...

Dollar Gains Ground Amid Surprising Nonfarm Payrolls Spike

In a surprising turn of events, the US Dollar surged today, fueled by an unexpected leap in the Nonfarm Payrolls report. Employers added 272K jobs in May, significantly outpacing the highest forecast...

Nasdaq Hits Fresh All-Time Highs Ahead of NFP Tomorrow

Tech Stocks Break OutThe Nasdaq has broken out to fresh, all-time highs today on the back of the latest US economic data yesterday. The ADP employment figure showed that private payrolls slowed in...

USD Slips as ECB's Hawkish Rate Cut Dominates Headlines

The US Dollar took a hit on Thursday, dipping as market players digested the European Central Bank's widely anticipated decision to slice its policy rate by 25 basis points. Despite the rate cut,...

Bullish EURUSD Risks Into ECB Today

ECB On WatchEURUSD is trading in a muted fashion ahead of the keenly awaited June ECB meeting later today. The bank is widely expected to cut rates by .25% in line with lower inflation and dovish ECB...

BOC Front-runs Fed With First G7 Rate Cut

BOC Cuts RatesThe Bank of Canada became the first central bank in the G7 group to cut rates yesterday. Marking its first rate cut in four years, the BOC noted that it was confident inflation was...

Copper Sinks on Fading China Demand

Copper Sell Off DeepensCopper prices remain heavily sold this week with copper futures extending their recent rout, now down almost 13% from the YTD highs. The move comes on the back of weaker...

Dollar Arrests Decline Amid Mixed Economic Signals; Short-Term Rebound Is Likely

On Wednesday, the US Dollar picked up steam for the second consecutive day as the US Dollar Index, which measures the currency against six key rivals, managed to rise despite remaining in the red for...

Bitcoin Rallying on Soaring ETF Inflow

BTC Rallying as USD DropsBitcoin prices are pushing higher this week with digital assets seemingly taking advantage of a dovish shift in Fed expectations. Weaker PCE data on Friday and softer...